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Regular Season Wins

Under 93.5 and Wins -115

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New York Yankees icon

The under on the Yankees regular season win total is my favorite team total bet for two reasons.

First, the Yankees play in the hardest division in baseball. The Orioles and Rays are two teams stacked with young players that are only getting better. Having won 101 and 99 games respectively last season and keeping their solid foundation of youth, both teams are trending upwards. Throw in the Blue Jays, who won 89 games despite a relatively disappointing season last year, and the AL East is going to be a dogfight all year.

The second reason is that the Yankees are relying on players’ past performances to get them wins. DJ Lemahieu had a .243/.327/.390 line last, while Anthony Rizzo posted a .172/.271/.225 line after a collision with Fernando Tatis Jr. left him with concussion-like symptoms.

Adding Juan Soto and Alex Verdugo were nice pickups for the Yanks, but the rotation outside of Garrit Cole will still struggle. Nestor Cortes only had one start after May due to rotator cuff injuries and Marcus Stroman had a an 8.31 ERA in 34 2/3 innings after July due to rib injuries.

It’s hard to see the Yankees winning mAuch more than the 82 games they won last season.