Our experts break down the best Patrick Mahomes player props for Super Bowl 58. From interceptions to rushing attempts, we find the best bets.
Patrick Mahomes Player Props for Super Bowl 58
The reigning Super Bowl MVP Patrick Mahomes is looking to become the first back-to-back Lombardi trophy winners since the 2004 and 2005 New England Patriots. In last year’s game, Mahomes had a pedestrian 182 passing yards, but did cash in with three passing TDs on 21 for 28 attempts.
Let’s take a look at some of the best Patrick Mahomes player props for Super Bowl 58 in Las Vegas on Sunday.
Patrick Mahomes Under 0.5 Interceptions -115 (Caesars Sportsbook)
One remarkable Mahomes stat that is overlooked is that he has not thrown an interception in six straight playoff games.
This season he saw a career low in total passing yards and one of the reasons was being more conservative with the football. With the Chiefs getting a solid running game going on the back of Isiah Pacheco, there is some pressure lifted from Mahomes’ shoulders.
The 49ers were not able to pick off Jared Goff last week and I don’t see Mahomes forcing many throws in this game.
Patrick Mahomes Over 4.5 Rushing Attempts -120 (FanDuel)
Not forcing the ball has also meant that Mahomes hasn’t been afraid to tuck-and-run when he seems some open space.
Mahomes has had over 4.5 rushing attempts in three of the last five games, with six each against the Ravens and Bills. With everything to play for in the Super Bowl, we know that players are willing to go all out to gain every yard possible.
In last year’s championship, Mahomes carried the ball six times for 44 yards. It also helps that QB kneels count as rushing attempts, so there is added value if the Chiefs are closing out the game.
Patrick Mahomes First Player to Reach 100 Passing Yards -120 (DraftKings)
Our next Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl prop pits him H2H against Brock Purdy in a race to 100 passing yards courtesy of DraftKings sportsbook.
While both players have been excellent in the first half of games this season, Mahomes has thrown for 2362 first half yards compared to Purdy’s 2099. With Christian McCaffrey to lean on to take the pressure off of the young quarterback, the 49ers are likely to come out run-heavy to calm any nerves Mr. Irrelevant may have early on.
Mahomes has been especially deadly in the 2nd quarter, where he has thown for 1507 yards compared to Purdy’s 1183. The 49ers also have a great run defense which can stifle Pacheco, leading to more passes from the KC quarterback.
BetPreview may earn revenue from sports betting operators for audience referrals to betting services. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available. Call the National Council on Problem Gambling 24/7 at 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, OH), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN). Must be 21 or older to gamble. Sports betting and gambling are not legal in all locations. Be sure to comply with laws applicable where you reside.
